From Ice Hockey to Football: Mean Even Strength (MESF)From time to time I like to look at other sports in the world and see what we — football enthusiasts — can learn from other disciplines in…6d ago6d ago
Introducing Expected Shots from Cross (xCross): measuring the probability that a shot occurs from a…How many more expected models do we need? That’s surely a question I have asked myself numerous times while researching the article I am…Feb 21Feb 21
P-values in football: assessing thee validity of correlation in scatterplotsScatterplots. Football analysts in the public space absolutely love them and I’m one of them. I have been using them for years to show two…Jan 275Jan 275
Expected Defensive Threat Reduction (xDEF): measuring how defensive players reduce attacking…It’s finished! That’s my inital thought when I started writing this article and that sentiment comes from weeks of cracking my brain. I…Jan 182Jan 182
Passing roles: using pass direction data to establish tactical rolesIn data departments all over elite sports and in football in particular, we create and develop metrics. To make them actionable, we…Jan 141Jan 141
Finding similar players: Cosine similarity, Euclidean Distance & Pearson CorrelationPeople often ask me what gives me the most joy about working in football and I honestly can remember when I gave the same answer twice…Jan 53Jan 53
Goalplayer Value Added (GV+): measuring passing contribution in the build-up for goalkeepersIt has been a hot minute since we spoke about goalkeeper data did we not? Goalkeeper data is not as evolved as field players. The data that…Dec 31, 20241Dec 31, 20241
Adapting Basketball Data Analytics to Football: Spatial Dynamics of Man-Marking with Average…It might seem that I’m incredibly productive with many articles coming out of my pen — or fingers if you will- these last few months, but…Dec 28, 20244Dec 28, 20244
Introducing SPER: A way of rating teams based on Expected Goals Difference from Set PiecesThis year would be the year that I would immerse myself in set pieces. I know that is something I’ve said a lot and it was one of my goals…Dec 20, 20245Dec 20, 20245
Quantifying Off-Ball Contributions in Football Using Network Analysis: The Off-Ball Impact Score…This might be my best and scariest project up to date. Scary because it can be full of flaws, but also best because I feel this will change…Dec 15, 20241Dec 15, 20241