Gamestate xG Score: Expected goals adjusted by game state

Marc Lamberts
7 min readFeb 25, 2024

Expected goals. You might think oh no here we go again, but I think it might be the one metric that has become part of normal conversations, without actually knowing the power or versatility of it. That also means we often talk about expected goals or xG and make wrong assumptions/conclusions. This can lead to a completely distorted point of view and discredit the work data people do in…

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Marc Lamberts

Academic | CAF A | Recruitment + data analysis consultant in football | Set pieces